Asides

Electoral College: By the Cities

If you look at the population for the top one hundred U.S. metropolitan areas, you get a population that is roughly two-thirds of the U.S. population (215 million of 320 million, using 2015 estimates).

Of these cities, Trump “carried” 64* of them in the Electoral College; Clinton carried 36.

Remarkably, the population “carried” by each candidate differs by only 385,000 people (about a 0.18% difference).

*Populations for some metropolitan statistical areas cross borders of states that each candidate won (e.g., the New York MSA extends into Pennsylvania; the Philadelphia MSA extends into New Jersey, Delaware and Maryland).

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How Clinton Lost

Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania… all states Obama won in 2012, 70 electoral votes among them (aka decisive last night).

Iowa: Clinton lost 171,754 votes compared to Obama’s numbers, a 21% drop overall; Trump gained 68,306 votes compared to Romney. A 250% difference.

Ohio: Clinton lost 510,708 votes (18%); Trump gained 110,547. A 462% difference.

Wisc.: Clinton lost 238,775 votes (15%); Trump gained just 1,501. A 15908% difference.

Mich.: Clinton lost 297,196 votes (12%); Trump gained 163,954. A 181% difference.

Penn.: Clinton lost 238,775 votes (5%); Trump gained 232,507. A 63’% difference.

That’s how you lose an election.

Did Trump win it? Did Clinton lose it? That’s up to you to decide, but returns show a lot of Obama voters stayed home.